Live Weather Update: Conditions checked at 5:30 PM IST before toss.
Match: GT vs RR, IPL 2026 Match 52
Venue: Sawai Mansingh Stadium, Jaipur
Date: 9 May 2026
Time: 7:30 PM IST
Source: Weather data based on live Jaipur forecast updates and match-time humidity projections.
Sawai Mansingh Stadium hosts RR vs GT in Match 52 tonight at 7:30 PM IST, and the weather verdict is clean: no rain, temperatures dropping from 37°C at toss to 30°C by the death overs, and dew arriving around the 12th over of the second innings. Chase. That’s the call.
Also check our GT vs RR Dream11 Prediction before toss.
Today’s evening weather in Jaipur strongly favours chasing under dew.
GT vs RR Weather Report Today
Quick Verdict: No rain expected. Heavy dew likely in second innings. Bowl first after winning toss.
| Condition | Forecast |
|---|---|
| Temperature | 37°C at Toss |
| Rain Chances | 0% |
| Dew Risk | High |
| Best Toss Decision | Bowl First |
37°C at Toss · Clear Skies · Dew Risk High (68%)
Daytime peaked at 40–42°C but the evening cools fast in Jaipur. Humidity climbs from 32% at 7 PM toward 55–60% post 10 PM — enough for outfield dew to make the ball skid through in the back half of the second innings.
Hour-by-Hour Forecast (7:30 PM – 12 AM IST)
💧 Dew Probability — High (68%)
📊 Pitch & Conditions Insight
Sawai Mansingh Stadium’s average first-innings score in IPL 2026 has climbed to 175–190, with RR themselves posting 220-plus twice at home this season — and losing both times to sides chasing under dew. Chasers have won over 64% of evening matches here, and dew is the main reason. Humidity rising past 55% by the 10th over of the second innings makes the ball slippery and difficult for spinners to grip. Straight boundaries at 75m and square at 72m are not small — but with a wet outfield from over 12 onward, the ball reaches the rope quicker and cutters lose their bite.
What the Dew Does to the Bowling Attack
It’s spinners who pay the dearest price at this ground. The moment dew settles — usually between overs 11 and 13 of the second innings — revving up the ball becomes close to impossible. Slower balls don’t grip, wrist spin loses purchase, and finger spinners get carted through the line. That’s a direct problem for whichever side bats first and tries to defend in the second half.
Pace bowlers aren’t immune either. Dew takes the shine off the leather fast, meaning cutters and off-pace variations — the stock death-overs tool at Jaipur — go through as full tosses instead of devilish decelerators. A chasing batter who stays in until overs 14–15 is essentially batting in batting-practice conditions by then.
Batting First (GT / RR)
- Full powerplay without dew — hard ball, pace and carry, ideal for big powerplay over.
- Spinners can attack in overs 7–14 before dew disrupts their plans.
- Defending 185-plus is genuinely possible; anything under 170 isn’t.
- Death bowlers need extreme variations — yorkers over slower balls.
Batting Second (Chase)
- Dew from over 12 onward makes the outfield lightning-fast.
- Spinners defending become ineffective — free-hitting overs effectively.
- Even targets of 185-190 are manageable if openers give a decent platform.
- Chasing sides have won both RR home games this season where dew played.
Jaipur isn’t Mumbai — the dew here isn’t always a foregone conclusion. But on a 40°C day that cools to 30°C over five hours, with humidity climbing past 55% under floodlights, tonight ticks every box. Both Shubman Gill and Riyan Parag know this ground well enough to call it correctly: you bowl first here in May, full stop. The team that wins the toss and still elects to bat is either very confident in their total or making a costly mistake.
What makes this specific match interesting is that both RR and GT sit on 12 points each — playoff pressure through the roof. RR chased 223 against Punjab Kings at this very venue earlier this season, clipping the last ball to win. That was dew-assisted too. If GT win the toss and bowl, they’ll back their top-heavy batting lineup to do something similar. If RR win the toss, Parag won’t hesitate to send GT in. Either way, the side chasing tonight holds the structural advantage.
🎯 Toss Verdict
If you win the toss: Bowl first. No hesitation.
Par score batting first: 180–190. Anything under 170 is likely not enough.
Dew impact window: Overs 12–20 of the 2nd innings — spinners become largely ineffective from this point.
For your GT vs RR captain and vice-captain picks, factor in dew when choosing between an aggressive batter who anchors the chase versus a powerplay-dependent one. And check our full GT vs RR Dream11 prediction for the complete fantasy team breakdown, including pitch-adjusted picks.
GT vs RR Weather Report Today
Will there be dew tonight at Sawai Mansingh Stadium?
Yes, dew is expected at Sawai Mansingh Stadium tonight. After a baking daytime high of 40–42°C, temperatures drop to around 30°C by match’s end while humidity climbs past 55%. Dew probability tonight is rated High at 68%. It typically settles on the outfield between overs 11 and 13 of the second innings.
What is the rain forecast for GT vs RR on May 9, 2026?
There is virtually zero chance of rain in Jaipur tonight. The sky will remain clear throughout the match, and the IMD has not issued any rain alert for the Jaipur region on May 9. Expect a full 40-over contest with no interruption.
Should the captain bat or chase at Sawai Mansingh tonight?
Chase. The historical record at this venue shows chasers winning over 64% of evening matches, and tonight’s dew forecast reinforces that trend. Both RR home games this IPL 2026 where dew was a factor ended with the chasing side winning — including RR’s own 224-run successful chase against Punjab Kings. Toss-winning captains should not hesitate.
What is the par score at Sawai Mansingh Stadium tonight?
Based on IPL 2026 data at this venue, 180–190 batting first is the par score. RR have posted 220-plus twice at home this season but were chased down both times with dew in play. A side batting first tonight needs at least 185 to have a genuine chance of defending, ideally more.
How does dew affect fantasy cricket picks for GT vs RR?
Dew heavily favours batters in the second innings and penalises spinners bowling late in the game. For Dream11, prioritise top-order batters from the chasing side and be cautious about picking spinners as your multiplier picks. See our detailed IPL 2026 fantasy cricket tips guide for a broader look at venue-based adjustments.
Bottom Line
Jaipur is clear, cooling, and setting up for significant dew by the back half of the second innings tonight — conditions that structurally favour whichever side bats second. With both RR and GT tied on 12 points and the playoffs on the line, expect both captains to know exactly what the toss means: it could be worth ten runs before a ball is bowled. Set your fantasy teams accordingly, track the IPL 2026 Points Table as the playoff picture tightens, and keep an eye on the Orange Cap and Purple Cap races — tonight’s match could shake both lists up.
